Prediction of Blake Ellis vs Shinji Hazawa at Sydney Challenger 11-18-25

• How does recent second serve performance affect match outcomes? Blake Ellis has won 42.00% of points on their second serve, while Shinji Hazawa has a slight edge at 46.52%.
• In terms of returning second serves, Blake Ellis has managed to win 46.34% of such points, compared to Shinji Hazawa's 46.16%, indicating a nearly even battle in this area.
• First serve returns are more decisive, with Blake Ellis winning just 17.95% of points, whereas Shinji Hazawa dominates at 30.08%.
• Under pressure, Shinji Hazawa saves 52.99% of breakpoints, outperforming Blake Ellis, who saves 41.67%.
• Blake Ellis boasts a higher match win rate in the past year at 60.71%, whereas Shinji Hazawa claims 50.91% of his matches.
• Preferred surfaces show Blake Ellis excels on Grass with a 73% win rate but drops to 57% on Hard surfaces. Conversely, Shinji Hazawa is strongest on Hard surfaces with a 73% win rate and struggles on Indoor Hard courts with a 40% win rate.
• Regarding match level, Blake Ellis competes mainly at higher-tier tournaments with a 38.46% win rate, while Shinji Hazawa participates in lower-tier events, achieving a 48.78% win rate.
• Head-to-head advantage belongs to Shinji Hazawa, who leads 1 match to 0, winning 2 sets to none, with a past victory in straight sets on Hard surface.
• Blake Ellis has faced players with an average rank of 417.82, while Shinji Hazawa has competed against tougher opponents averaging a rank of 111.64.
• If this match reaches a deciding set, both players perform similarly with Blake Ellis at a 50% win rate and Shinji Hazawa at 47%.
• In break point conversion, Blake Ellis has a stronger record, converting 40.00% of opportunities, whereas Shinji Hazawa converts 30.11%.

Editorial Prediction (November 17, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the match dynamics, Shinji Hazawa displays a slight advantage in second serve performance, crucial for match predictions.

While Blake Ellis shows competitiveness in returning second serves, Hazawa's supremacy in first serve return points suggests potential dominance.

Under pressure, Hazawa's ability to save more breakpoints could be a turning point, despite Ellis's higher win rate over the past year.

Surface preferences favor Blake on grass, but given the Hard court context of their last encounter, Hazawa's previous victory on this surface is significant.

Considering head-to-head statistics and opponent quality, Hazawa's history of facing stronger opponents and securing a previous win over Ellis positions him as the likely victor in their upcoming match.